What CMHC and CREA Forecasts Can Tell Buyers and Sellers

Chris Miller
Tuesday, April 15, 2025

Real estate forecasts can be helpful, but they should be used carefully. Buyers and sellers often hear predictions about prices, sales, interest rates, and housing supply, then wonder what it means for their own plans.

CMHC and CREA look at different parts of the housing picture. CMHC provides housing market research, outlooks, and information related to housing supply, demand, affordability, and construction. CREA publishes resale housing statistics and forecast updates related to Canadian real estate activity.

Forecasts can offer useful context, but they are not guarantees. They can be revised as economic conditions change.

Why does this matter? Forecasts help identify broader trends. They may point to expected changes in inventory, buyer demand, affordability, and sales activity. But they cannot tell you exactly what will happen to one specific home in one specific neighbourhood.

When reading forecasts, pay attention to:

  • Whether the forecast is national, provincial, or local
  • Whether it discusses prices, sales, starts, or inventory
  • The assumptions behind the forecast
  • The date it was published
  • Whether newer data has changed the outlook

Buyers can use forecasts to plan, not panic. If a forecast suggests more listings may come to market, buyers may have more choice. If demand is expected to strengthen, buyers may want to be prepared with financing and a clear search strategy.

Sellers can use forecasts to set expectations. A rising market does not mean every home sells quickly. A slower market does not mean a well-priced home cannot attract strong interest.

Forecasts are a guide, not a promise.

The best approach is to combine trusted national sources with local market data. Review what is happening in your area, your price range, and your property type before making a buying or selling decision.


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